Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. AZ Alkmaar opened as the favorite at 1.29 (-341) and drifted to 1.47 (-213). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AZ Alkmaar 73% → 66%, draw 16% → 19%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 11% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from AZ Alkmaar -1.5 to AZ Alkmaar -1.25. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar went from 70% to 66% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
AZ Alkmaar
1.29 (-341)
1.47 (-213)
Draw
5.83 (+483)
5.00 (+400)
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.90 (+790)
6.35 (+535)
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar -1.5 · 1.83 (-120)
AZ Alkmaar -1.25 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · AZ Alkmaar
Total (over/under)
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