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Petkim Spor Aliaga vs Denizli Basket — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 140 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 140 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 55 min before tip-off. Petkim Spor Aliaga opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-227) and shortened to 1.35 (-283). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Petkim Spor Aliaga 63% → 67%, Denizli Basket 37% → 33%. The spread moved from Petkim Spor Aliaga -4 to Petkim Spor Aliaga -5.5. The total moved up from 164 to 167. The sharpest single move came 2 h 45 min before tip-off: Petkim Spor Aliaga went from 64% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Petkim Spor Aliaga1.44 (-227)1.35 (-283)
Denizli Basket2.47 (+147)2.74 (+174)
spreadPetkim Spor Aliaga -4 · 1.79 (-127)Petkim Spor Aliaga -5.5 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 164 · over 1.78 (-128)O/U 167 · over 1.79 (-126)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%42%58%73%Petkim Spor Aliaga 67%Denizli Basket 33%
spread · Petkim Spor Aliaga
-5.5-4.5-4-4 → -5.5
Total (over/under)
164165167164 → 167

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).