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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 1:40 PM UTC · 182 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 182 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 20 min before tip-off. Bayern Munich opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-423) and shortened to 1.13 (-769). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bayern Munich 77% → 85%, Alba Berlin 23% → 15%. The spread moved from Bayern Munich -9 to Bayern Munich -12. The total moved up from 168.5 to 171. The sharpest single move came 6 h 40 min before tip-off: Alba Berlin went from 22% to 18% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bayern Munich1.24 (-423)1.13 (-769)
Alba Berlin4.10 (+310)6.41 (+541)
spreadBayern Munich -9 · 1.96 (-104)Bayern Munich -12 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 168.5 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 171 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%34%66%98%Bayern Munich 85%Alba Berlin 15%
spread · Bayern Munich
-12-10.5-9.5-9-9 → -12
Total (over/under)
168.5169.5171168.5 → 171

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