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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Santos Laguna vs Pachuca — odds movement

Sep 27, 2026 · 3:05 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 15 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Pachuca opened favored at 2.23 (+123), but by the last snapshot Santos Laguna was the favorite at 2.50 (+150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos Laguna 32% → 39%, draw 26% → 28%, Pachuca 43% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos Laguna +0.25 to Santos Laguna 0. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Pachuca went from 45% to 38% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Santos Laguna3.01 (+201)2.50 (+150)
Draw3.72 (+272)3.49 (+249)
Pachuca2.23 (+123)2.88 (+188)
Asian handicapSantos Laguna +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)Santos Laguna 0 · 1.82 (-122)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%31%40%49%Santos Laguna 39%Draw 28%Pachuca 34%
Asian handicap · Santos Laguna
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).