Sep 26, 2026 · 11:07 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 15 min before kickoff. Chivas Guadalajara opened as the favorite at 1.39 (-259) and drifted to 1.65 (-153). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chivas Guadalajara 68% → 58%, draw 19% → 23%, Queretaro 13% → 18%. The Asian handicap moved from Chivas Guadalajara -1.25 to Chivas Guadalajara -0.75. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Chivas Guadalajara went from 60% to 58% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Chivas Guadalajara
1.39 (-259)
1.65 (-153)
Draw
5.11 (+411)
4.14 (+314)
Queretaro
7.12 (+612)
5.25 (+425)
Asian handicap
Chivas Guadalajara -1.25 · 1.87 (-115)
Chivas Guadalajara -0.75 · 1.83 (-120)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Chivas Guadalajara
Total (over/under)
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