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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Baskets Bonn vs Mitteldeutscher BC — odds movement

Sep 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Baskets Bonn opened as the favorite at 1.26 (-381) and shortened to 1.23 (-443). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Baskets Bonn 75% → 78%, Mitteldeutscher BC 25% → 22%. The spread moved from Baskets Bonn -8 to Baskets Bonn -9.5. The total moved down from 170.5 to 166. The sharpest single move came 5 h 5 min before tip-off: Mitteldeutscher BC went from 25% to 23% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Baskets Bonn1.26 (-381)1.23 (-443)
Mitteldeutscher BC3.84 (+284)4.40 (+340)
spreadBaskets Bonn -8 · 1.91 (-110)Baskets Bonn -9.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 170.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 166 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%37%63%88%Baskets Bonn 78%Mitteldeutscher BC 22%
spread · Baskets Bonn
-9.5-8.5-8-8 → -9.5
Total (over/under)
166169.5170.5170.5 → 166

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