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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

BV Chemnitz 99 vs Phoenix Hagen — odds movement

Sep 27, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. BV Chemnitz 99 opened as the favorite at 1.25 (-404) and shortened to 1.18 (-549). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): BV Chemnitz 99 76% → 81%, Phoenix Hagen 24% → 19%. The spread moved from BV Chemnitz 99 -8.5 to BV Chemnitz 99 -10.5. The total stayed at 174.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 50 min before tip-off: Phoenix Hagen went from 24% to 19% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
BV Chemnitz 991.25 (-404)1.18 (-549)
Phoenix Hagen3.98 (+298)5.08 (+408)
spreadBV Chemnitz 99 -8.5 · 1.92 (-109)BV Chemnitz 99 -10.5 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 174.5 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 174.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
8%36%64%92%BV Chemnitz 99 81%Phoenix Hagen 19%
spread · BV Chemnitz 99
-10.5-8.5-8.5 → -10.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (174.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).