Oct 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Vitoria opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-148) and shortened to 1.52 (-194). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vitoria 57% → 64%, draw 24% → 22%, Chapecoense 19% → 14%. The Asian handicap moved from Vitoria -0.75 to Vitoria -1. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 11 h 10 min before kickoff: Vitoria went from 63% to 61% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Vitoria
1.68 (-148)
1.52 (-194)
Draw
3.91 (+291)
4.39 (+339)
Chapecoense
5.04 (+404)
6.73 (+573)
Asian handicap
Vitoria -0.75 · 1.89 (-113)
Vitoria -1 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 2.75 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Vitoria
Total (over/under)
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