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Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 10:30 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Istanbul Basaksehir opened favored at 2.54 (+154), but by the last snapshot Konyaspor was the favorite at 2.29 (+129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Konyaspor 35% → 42%, draw 28% → 29%, Istanbul Basaksehir 38% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from Konyaspor 0 to Konyaspor -0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Konyaspor went from 41% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Konyaspor2.74 (+174)2.29 (+129)
Draw3.45 (+245)3.35 (+235)
Istanbul Basaksehir2.54 (+154)3.36 (+236)
Asian handicapKonyaspor 0 · 2.00 (+100)Konyaspor -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%32%39%46%Konyaspor 42%Draw 29%Istanbul Basaksehir 29%
Asian handicap · Konyaspor
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).