Scan with your phone camera Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens — odds movement
Sep 29, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before puck drop. The favorite flipped: Toronto Maple Leafs opened favored at 1.89 (-113), but by the last snapshot Montreal Canadiens was the favorite at 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto Maple Leafs 51% → 50%, Montreal Canadiens 49% → 50%. The puck line moved from Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 to Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5. The total stayed at 6.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.89 (-113) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Montreal Canadiens | 2.00 (+100) | 1.93 (-107) |
| puck line | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 · 3.17 (+217) | Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 · 1.37 (-269) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.96 (-104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).