Sep 28, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 92 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 92 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 50 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Korfez Basket opened favored at 1.79 (-127), but by the last snapshot Esenler Erokspor was the favorite at 1.41 (-243). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Korfez Basket 51% → 36%, Esenler Erokspor 49% → 64%. The spread moved from Korfez Basket -1.5 to Korfez Basket +5. The total moved up from 164.5 to 171.5. The sharpest single move came 7 h 40 min before tip-off: Korfez Basket went from 51% to 46% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Korfez Basket
1.79 (-127)
2.55 (+155)
Esenler Erokspor
1.88 (-114)
1.41 (-243)
spread
Korfez Basket -1.5 · 1.87 (-115)
Korfez Basket +5 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 164.5 · over 1.84 (-119)
O/U 171.5 · over 1.75 (-133)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
spread · Korfez Basket
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.