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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Baskets Wurzburg vs Baskets Bonn — odds movement

Oct 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: Baskets Wurzburg opened favored at 1.79 (-126), but by the last snapshot Baskets Bonn was the favorite at 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Baskets Wurzburg 53% → 46%, Baskets Bonn 47% → 54%. The spread moved from Baskets Wurzburg -2.5 to Baskets Wurzburg +2. The total moved down from 158.5 to 156.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 30 min before tip-off: Baskets Wurzburg went from 51% to 46% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Baskets Wurzburg1.79 (-126)2.09 (+109)
Baskets Bonn2.02 (+102)1.78 (-129)
spreadBaskets Wurzburg -2.5 · 2.00 (+100)Baskets Wurzburg +2 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 158.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 156.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
44%48%52%56%Baskets Wurzburg 46%Baskets Bonn 54%
spread · Baskets Wurzburg
-2.5+1+2-2.5 → +2
Total (over/under)
156.5158.5158.5 → 156.5

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