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Denizli Basket vs Tofas SK — odds movement

Oct 3, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 141 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 141 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 25 min before tip-off. Tofas SK opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and shortened to 1.57 (-176). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Denizli Basket 47% → 42%, Tofas SK 53% → 58%. The spread moved from Denizli Basket +1.5 to Denizli Basket +2.5. The total stayed at 170.5. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before tip-off: Denizli Basket went from 49% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Denizli Basket1.96 (-104)2.19 (+119)
Tofas SK1.72 (-139)1.57 (-176)
spreadDenizli Basket +1.5 · 1.88 (-114)Denizli Basket +2.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 170.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 170.5 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
39%46%54%61%Denizli Basket 42%Tofas SK 58%
spread · Denizli Basket
+1.5+2.5+1.5 → +2.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (170.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).