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Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Sporting Kansas City opened favored at 2.33 (+133), but by the last snapshot Portland Timbers was the favorite at 2.24 (+124). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sporting Kansas City 41% → 34%, draw 23% → 23%, Portland Timbers 36% → 43%. The Asian handicap moved from Sporting Kansas City 0 to Sporting Kansas City +0.25. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 7 h 35 min before kickoff: Sporting Kansas City went from 39% to 37% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sporting Kansas City2.33 (+133)2.87 (+187)
Draw4.17 (+317)4.19 (+319)
Portland Timbers2.62 (+162)2.24 (+124)
Asian handicapSporting Kansas City 0 · 1.82 (-122)Sporting Kansas City +0.25 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%28%37%47%Sporting Kansas City 34%Draw 23%Portland Timbers 43%
Asian handicap · Sporting Kansas City
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).