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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Bayern Munich vs Baskets Oldenburg — odds movement

Oct 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 176 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 176 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Bayern Munich opened as the favorite at 1.11 (-895) and shortened to 1.10 (-1030). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bayern Munich 86% → 88%, Baskets Oldenburg 14% → 12%. The spread moved from Bayern Munich -12.5 to Bayern Munich -13.5. The total moved down from 164.5 to 162.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bayern Munich1.11 (-895)1.10 (-1030)
Baskets Oldenburg6.69 (+569)7.84 (+684)
spreadBayern Munich -12.5 · 1.85 (-117)Bayern Munich -13.5 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 164.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 162 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-1%33%67%101%Bayern Munich 88%Baskets Oldenburg 12%
spread · Bayern Munich
-13.5-13-12.5-12.5 → -13.5
Total (over/under)
161161.5162164.5164.5 → 162

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