Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks — odds movement
Oct 21, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. Washington Wizards opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-193) and drifted to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Wizards 64% → 61%, Milwaukee Bucks 36% → 39%. The spread moved from Washington Wizards -5 to Washington Wizards -4. The total moved up from 238 to 238.5. The sharpest single move came 30 h 50 min before tip-off: Milwaukee Bucks went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Washington Wizards | 1.52 (-193) | 1.62 (-162) |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 2.68 (+168) | 2.48 (+148) |
| spread | Washington Wizards -5 · 1.93 (-107) | Washington Wizards -4 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 238 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 238.5 · over 1.99 (-101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).