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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. Washington Wizards opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-193) and drifted to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Wizards 64% → 61%, Milwaukee Bucks 36% → 39%. The spread moved from Washington Wizards -5 to Washington Wizards -4. The total moved up from 238 to 238.5. The sharpest single move came 30 h 50 min before tip-off: Milwaukee Bucks went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Wizards1.52 (-193)1.62 (-162)
Milwaukee Bucks2.68 (+168)2.48 (+148)
spreadWashington Wizards -5 · 1.93 (-107)Washington Wizards -4 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 238 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 238.5 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
31%44%56%69%Washington Wizards 61%Milwaukee Bucks 39%
spread · Washington Wizards
-5.5-5-4.5-4-5 → -4
Total (over/under)
238238.5239238 → 238.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).