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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. Toronto Raptors opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-414) and shortened to 1.23 (-431). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto Raptors 78% → 79%, Chicago Bulls 22% → 21%. The spread moved from Toronto Raptors -9.5 to Toronto Raptors -10.5. The total moved up from 236.5 to 238.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Toronto Raptors1.24 (-414)1.23 (-431)
Chicago Bulls4.31 (+331)4.69 (+369)
spreadToronto Raptors -9.5 · 1.95 (-105)Toronto Raptors -10.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 236.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 238 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
10%37%63%90%Toronto Raptors 79%Chicago Bulls 21%
spread · Toronto Raptors
-10.5-10-9.5-9-8-9.5 → -10.5
Total (over/under)
236.5238236.5 → 238

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).