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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. Indiana Pacers opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and drifted to 1.72 (-139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New Orleans Pelicans 41% → 43%, Indiana Pacers 59% → 57%. The spread moved from New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 to New Orleans Pelicans +3. The total moved down from 241.5 to 239.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 25 min before tip-off: New Orleans Pelicans went from 42% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New Orleans Pelicans2.38 (+138)2.28 (+128)
Indiana Pacers1.64 (-156)1.72 (-139)
spreadNew Orleans Pelicans +3.5 · 1.95 (-105)New Orleans Pelicans +3 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 241.5 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 239.5 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
37%46%54%63%New Orleans Pelicans 43%Indiana Pacers 57%
spread · New Orleans Pelicans
+3+3.5+3.5 → +3
Total (over/under)
239.5240.5241.5241.5 → 239.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).