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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. Memphis Grizzlies opened as the favorite at 1.86 (-116) and shortened to 1.78 (-128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Memphis Grizzlies 52% → 55%, Utah Jazz 48% → 45%. The spread moved from Memphis Grizzlies -1 to Memphis Grizzlies -2. The total moved down from 243 to 241.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Memphis Grizzlies1.86 (-116)1.78 (-128)
Utah Jazz2.03 (+103)2.18 (+118)
spreadMemphis Grizzlies -1 · 1.93 (-107)Memphis Grizzlies -2 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 243 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 241.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
43%48%52%57%Memphis Grizzlies 55%Utah Jazz 45%
spread · Memphis Grizzlies
-2-1.5-1-1 → -2
Total (over/under)
240241241.5242243243 → 241.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).