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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 383 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 383 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 32 h 20 min before tip-off. Los Angeles Lakers opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-211) and shortened to 1.45 (-222). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Lakers 66% → 67%, Golden State Warriors 34% → 33%. The spread moved from Los Angeles Lakers -6 to Los Angeles Lakers -6.5. The total stayed at 234. The sharpest single move came 13 h 30 min before tip-off: Los Angeles Lakers went from 66% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Lakers1.47 (-211)1.45 (-222)
Golden State Warriors2.82 (+182)3.01 (+201)
spreadLos Angeles Lakers -6 · 1.92 (-109)Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 234 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 234 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%42%58%74%Los Angeles Lakers 67%Golden State Warriors 33%
spread · Los Angeles Lakers
-6.5-6-6 → -6.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (234)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).