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Kia Tigers vs Samsung Lions — odds movement

Oct 6, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 149 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 149 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 10 min before first pitch. Kia Tigers opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-146) and shortened to 1.58 (-173). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kia Tigers 57% → 60%, Samsung Lions 43% → 40%. The run line held at Kia Tigers -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 10. The sharpest single move came 1 h 50 min before first pitch: Kia Tigers went from 59% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kia Tigers1.68 (-146)1.58 (-173)
Samsung Lions2.20 (+120)2.41 (+141)
run lineKia Tigers -1.5 · 2.47 (+147)Kia Tigers -1.5 · 2.19 (+119)
TotalO/U 10 · over 1.79 (-127)O/U 10 · over 1.82 (-122)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Kia Tigers 60%Samsung Lions 40%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (10)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).