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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators — odds movement

Oct 6, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 162 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 162 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 35 min before puck drop. The favorite flipped: Ottawa Senators opened favored at 1.92 (-109), but by the last snapshot Detroit Red Wings was the favorite at 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Detroit Red Wings 49% → 54%, Ottawa Senators 51% → 46%. The puck line moved from Detroit Red Wings +1.5 to Detroit Red Wings -1.5. The total stayed at 6. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before puck drop: Detroit Red Wings went from 49% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Detroit Red Wings1.97 (-103)1.82 (-122)
Ottawa Senators1.92 (-109)2.10 (+110)
puck lineDetroit Red Wings +1.5 · 1.37 (-270)Detroit Red Wings -1.5 · 3.09 (+209)
TotalO/U 6 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 6 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
45%48%52%55%Detroit Red Wings 54%Ottawa Senators 46%
puck line · Detroit Red Wings
-1.5+1.5+1.5 → -1.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (6)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).