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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers — odds movement

Oct 8, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 268 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 268 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 22 h 30 min before puck drop. Ottawa Senators opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-138) and shortened to 1.56 (-179). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ottawa Senators 56% → 63%, Philadelphia Flyers 44% → 37%. The puck line held at Ottawa Senators -1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 6 to 5.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 55 min before puck drop: Ottawa Senators went from 59% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Ottawa Senators1.72 (-138)1.56 (-179)
Philadelphia Flyers2.22 (+122)2.60 (+160)
puck lineOttawa Senators -1.5 · 2.84 (+184)Ottawa Senators -1.5 · 2.52 (+152)
TotalO/U 6 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 5.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
33%44%56%67%Ottawa Senators 63%Philadelphia Flyers 37%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
5.566 → 5.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).