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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 493 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 493 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kashima Antlers opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and shortened to 1.71 (-140). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kashima Antlers 51% → 56%, draw 25% → 23%, Gamba Osaka 24% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Kashima Antlers -0.5 to Kashima Antlers -0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 27 h 35 min before kickoff: Kashima Antlers went from 52% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kashima Antlers1.87 (-115)1.71 (-140)
Draw3.83 (+283)4.19 (+319)
Gamba Osaka3.91 (+291)4.67 (+367)
Asian handicapKashima Antlers -0.5 · 1.88 (-114)Kashima Antlers -0.75 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%48%65%Kashima Antlers 56%Draw 23%Gamba Osaka 21%
Asian handicap · Kashima Antlers
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).