Galatasaray vs Bursaspor — odds movement
Oct 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 146 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 146 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 25 min before tip-off. Galatasaray opened as the favorite at 1.50 (-199) and shortened to 1.19 (-516). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Galatasaray 61% → 75%, Bursaspor 39% → 25%. The spread moved from Galatasaray -4 to Galatasaray -8. The total stayed at 163.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before tip-off: Galatasaray went from 68% to 75% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Galatasaray | 1.50 (-199) | 1.19 (-516) |
| Bursaspor | 2.32 (+132) | 3.58 (+258) |
| spread | Galatasaray -4 · 1.80 (-125) | Galatasaray -8 · 1.90 (-111) |
| Total | O/U 163.5 · over 1.83 (-120) | O/U 163.5 · over 1.81 (-123) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).