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Baskets Bonn vs Medipolis SC Jena — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Baskets Bonn opened as the favorite at 1.14 (-690) and shortened to 1.13 (-785). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Baskets Bonn 83% → 85%, Medipolis SC Jena 17% → 15%. The spread moved from Baskets Bonn -11 to Baskets Bonn -12. The total moved down from 160 to 157. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before tip-off: Baskets Bonn went from 83% to 85% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Baskets Bonn1.14 (-690)1.13 (-785)
Medipolis SC Jena5.64 (+464)6.50 (+550)
spreadBaskets Bonn -11 · 1.87 (-115)Baskets Bonn -12 · 1.84 (-119)
TotalO/U 160 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 157 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%34%66%98%Baskets Bonn 85%Medipolis SC Jena 15%
spread · Baskets Bonn
-12-11-11 → -12
Total (over/under)
157160160 → 157

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).