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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Brose Bamberg vs Mitteldeutscher BC — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 152 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 152 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Brose Bamberg opened as the favorite at 1.30 (-330) and drifted to 1.48 (-210). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Brose Bamberg 73% → 65%, Mitteldeutscher BC 27% → 35%. The spread moved from Brose Bamberg -7.5 to Brose Bamberg -4.5. The total moved up from 174 to 175. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before tip-off: Brose Bamberg went from 71% to 65% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Brose Bamberg1.30 (-330)1.48 (-210)
Mitteldeutscher BC3.51 (+251)2.74 (+174)
spreadBrose Bamberg -7.5 · 1.92 (-109)Brose Bamberg -4.5 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 174 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 175 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%40%60%81%Brose Bamberg 65%Mitteldeutscher BC 35%
spread · Brose Bamberg
-7.5-6.5-5-4.5-7.5 → -4.5
Total (over/under)
174174.5175174 → 175

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