Oct 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Atletico Mineiro opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and drifted to 2.54 (+154). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atletico Mineiro 46% → 38%, draw 27% → 28%, Santos 26% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Atletico Mineiro -0.5 to Atletico Mineiro 0. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Santos went from 30% to 33% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Atletico Mineiro
2.06 (+106)
2.54 (+154)
Draw
3.49 (+249)
3.49 (+249)
Santos
3.61 (+261)
2.83 (+183)
Asian handicap
Atletico Mineiro -0.5 · 2.07 (+107)
Atletico Mineiro 0 · 1.84 (-119)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Atletico Mineiro
Total (over/under)
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