Oct 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 622 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 622 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. D.C. United opened as the favorite at 1.88 (-114) and drifted to 2.39 (+139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): D.C. United 51% → 40%, draw 23% → 25%, New York Red Bulls 26% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from D.C. United -0.5 to D.C. United -0.25. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 45 min before kickoff: D.C. United went from 46% to 43% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
D.C. United
1.88 (-114)
2.39 (+139)
Draw
4.11 (+311)
3.92 (+292)
New York Red Bulls
3.62 (+262)
2.78 (+178)
Asian handicap
D.C. United -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
D.C. United -0.25 · 2.11 (+111)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.91 (-110)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · D.C. United
Total (over/under)
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