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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo — odds movement

Oct 14, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. San Diego FC opened as the favorite at 2.25 (+125) and shortened to 2.03 (+103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Diego FC 42% → 48%, draw 26% → 25%, Houston Dynamo 31% → 27%. The Asian handicap moved from San Diego FC -0.25 to San Diego FC -0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: San Diego FC went from 48% to 46% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Diego FC2.25 (+125)2.03 (+103)
Draw3.63 (+263)3.84 (+284)
Houston Dynamo3.03 (+203)3.55 (+255)
Asian handicapSan Diego FC -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)San Diego FC -0.5 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%42%52%San Diego FC 48%Draw 25%Houston Dynamo 27%
Asian handicap · San Diego FC
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).