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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers — odds movement

Oct 30, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 253 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 253 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 60 min before tip-off. Miami Heat opened as the favorite at 1.33 (-303) and shortened to 1.32 (-310). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Miami Heat 73% → 73%, Indiana Pacers 27% → 27%. The spread moved from Miami Heat -7.5 to Miami Heat -8.5. The total moved down from 237.5 to 236.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Miami Heat1.33 (-303)1.32 (-310)
Indiana Pacers3.53 (+253)3.65 (+265)
spreadMiami Heat -7.5 · 1.94 (-106)Miami Heat -8.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 237.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 236 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%39%61%83%Miami Heat 73%Indiana Pacers 27%
spread · Miami Heat
-9-8.5-7.5-7.5 → -8.5
Total (over/under)
236237237.5237.5 → 236

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).