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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets — odds movement

Oct 30, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 277 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 277 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 60 min before tip-off. Denver Nuggets opened as the favorite at 1.54 (-184) and drifted to 1.59 (-169). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Phoenix Suns 37% → 39%, Denver Nuggets 63% → 61%. The spread moved from Phoenix Suns +4.5 to Phoenix Suns +4. The total moved up from 231 to 231.5. The sharpest single move came 2 h 15 min before tip-off: Phoenix Suns went from 38% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Phoenix Suns2.61 (+161)2.52 (+152)
Denver Nuggets1.54 (-184)1.59 (-169)
spreadPhoenix Suns +4.5 · 1.94 (-106)Phoenix Suns +4 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 231 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 231.5 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
33%44%56%67%Phoenix Suns 39%Denver Nuggets 61%
spread · Phoenix Suns
+4+4.5+4.5 → +4
Total (over/under)
231231.5232231 → 231.5

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