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Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights — odds movement

Oct 12, 2026 · 8:07 PM ET · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 29 h 25 min before puck drop. Minnesota Wild opened as the favorite at 1.88 (-114) and drifted to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Wild 52% → 50%, Vegas Golden Knights 48% → 50%. The puck line held at Minnesota Wild -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Minnesota Wild1.88 (-114)1.93 (-107)
Vegas Golden Knights2.01 (+101)1.95 (-105)
puck lineMinnesota Wild -1.5 · 3.21 (+221)Minnesota Wild -1.5 · 3.31 (+231)
TotalO/U 6 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 6 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
48%49%51%52%Minnesota Wild 50%Vegas Golden Knights 50%
puck line · Minnesota Wild
-1.5+1.5-1.5 → -1.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (6)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).