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Necaxa vs Atlas — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Necaxa opened favored at 2.54 (+154), but by the last snapshot Atlas was the favorite at 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Necaxa 37% → 29%, draw 27% → 26%, Atlas 36% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from Necaxa 0 to Necaxa +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 20 min before kickoff: Atlas went from 38% to 41% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Necaxa2.54 (+154)3.30 (+230)
Draw3.53 (+253)3.67 (+267)
Atlas2.68 (+168)2.19 (+119)
Asian handicapNecaxa 0 · 1.88 (-114)Necaxa +0.25 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%31%39%47%Necaxa 29%Draw 26%Atlas 44%
Asian handicap · Necaxa
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).