Necaxa vs Atlas — odds movement
Oct 17, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Necaxa opened favored at 2.54 (+154), but by the last snapshot Atlas was the favorite at 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Necaxa 37% → 29%, draw 27% → 26%, Atlas 36% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from Necaxa 0 to Necaxa +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 20 min before kickoff: Atlas went from 38% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Necaxa | 2.54 (+154) | 3.30 (+230) |
| Draw | 3.53 (+253) | 3.67 (+267) |
| Atlas | 2.68 (+168) | 2.19 (+119) |
| Asian handicap | Necaxa 0 · 1.88 (-114) | Necaxa +0.25 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).