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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM ET · 620 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 620 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened as the favorite at 1.58 (-171) and shortened to 1.46 (-217). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Philadelphia Union 60% → 66%, draw 21% → 18%, Charlotte FC 20% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Philadelphia Union -1 to Philadelphia Union -1.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 42 h 60 min before kickoff: Philadelphia Union went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Philadelphia Union1.58 (-171)1.46 (-217)
Draw4.58 (+358)5.31 (+431)
Charlotte FC4.84 (+384)6.04 (+504)
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -1 · 1.97 (-103)Philadelphia Union -1.25 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 3.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
6%29%53%77%Philadelphia Union 66%Draw 18%Charlotte FC 16%
Asian handicap · Philadelphia Union
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.753.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).