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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Motherwell vs Hearts — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 155 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 155 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hearts opened and closed as the favorite at 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Motherwell 29% → 29%, draw 25% → 25%, Hearts 45% → 46%. The Asian handicap held at Motherwell +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Motherwell3.28 (+228)3.32 (+232)
Draw3.79 (+279)3.85 (+285)
Hearts2.12 (+112)2.12 (+112)
Asian handicapMotherwell +0.25 · 2.03 (+103)Motherwell +0.25 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 3 · over 2.08 (+108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%41%51%Motherwell 29%Draw 25%Hearts 46%
Asian handicap · Motherwell
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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