Oct 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 505 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 505 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Istanbul Basaksehir opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-152) and drifted to 1.81 (-124). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Istanbul Basaksehir 57% → 53%, draw 23% → 23%, Gaziantep 20% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Istanbul Basaksehir -0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Istanbul Basaksehir went from 58% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Istanbul Basaksehir
1.66 (-152)
1.81 (-124)
Draw
4.18 (+318)
4.12 (+312)
Gaziantep
4.71 (+371)
4.19 (+319)
Asian handicap
Istanbul Basaksehir -0.75 · 1.84 (-119)
Istanbul Basaksehir -0.75 · 2.03 (+103)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)
O/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Istanbul Basaksehir
Total (over/under)
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