Oct 17, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. New York Red Bulls opened as the favorite at 2.03 (+103) and shortened to 1.71 (-140). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Red Bulls 47% → 56%, draw 24% → 21%, Toronto FC 29% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from New York Red Bulls -0.5 to New York Red Bulls -0.75. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 20 h 55 min before kickoff: New York Red Bulls went from 47% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
New York Red Bulls
2.03 (+103)
1.71 (-140)
Draw
3.95 (+295)
4.50 (+350)
Toronto FC
3.26 (+226)
4.34 (+334)
Asian handicap
New York Red Bulls -0.5 · 2.04 (+104)
New York Red Bulls -0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · New York Red Bulls
Total (over/under)
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