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Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Seattle Sounders opened as the favorite at 1.49 (-203) and shortened to 1.39 (-255). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Sounders 63% → 69%, draw 20% → 19%, CF Montreal 16% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Seattle Sounders -1 to Seattle Sounders -1.5. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 7 h 5 min before kickoff: Seattle Sounders went from 71% to 69% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Sounders1.49 (-203)1.39 (-255)
Draw4.68 (+368)5.14 (+414)
CF Montreal5.80 (+480)7.94 (+694)
Asian handicapSeattle Sounders -1 · 1.83 (-121)Seattle Sounders -1.5 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.25 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
1%28%55%82%Seattle Sounders 69%Draw 19%CF Montreal 12%
Asian handicap · Seattle Sounders
-1.5-1.25-1-1 → -1.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).