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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 4:30 PM KST · 622 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 622 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Seoul opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-181) and shortened to 1.38 (-260). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Seoul 61% → 70%, draw 22% → 18%, Gimcheon Sangmu 17% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Seoul -1 to FC Seoul -1.5. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 3 h 5 min before kickoff: FC Seoul went from 64% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Seoul1.55 (-181)1.38 (-260)
Draw4.37 (+337)5.36 (+436)
Gimcheon Sangmu5.45 (+445)7.71 (+671)
Asian handicapFC Seoul -1 · 1.92 (-109)FC Seoul -1.5 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%28%54%80%FC Seoul 70%Draw 18%Gimcheon Sangmu 12%
Asian handicap · FC Seoul
-1.5-1.25-1-1 → -1.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).