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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Houston Dynamo opened as the favorite at 2.07 (+107) and drifted to 2.38 (+138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Dynamo 46% → 41%, draw 27% → 28%, FC Dallas 27% → 31%. The Asian handicap held at Houston Dynamo -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 48 h 60 min before kickoff: Houston Dynamo went from 46% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Houston Dynamo2.07 (+107)2.38 (+138)
Draw3.55 (+255)3.44 (+244)
FC Dallas3.50 (+250)3.10 (+210)
Asian handicapHouston Dynamo -0.25 · 1.80 (-125)Houston Dynamo -0.25 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.75 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%32%41%49%Houston Dynamo 41%Draw 28%FC Dallas 31%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).