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Pinar Karsiyaka vs Cayirova Belediyesi — odds movement

Oct 16, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 143 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 143 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 10 min before tip-off. Pinar Karsiyaka opened as the favorite at 1.42 (-238) and drifted to 1.47 (-211). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pinar Karsiyaka 64% → 62%, Cayirova Belediyesi 36% → 38%. The spread moved from Pinar Karsiyaka -4.5 to Pinar Karsiyaka -4. The total moved up from 164.5 to 168.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 45 min before tip-off: Cayirova Belediyesi went from 37% to 39% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pinar Karsiyaka1.42 (-238)1.47 (-211)
Cayirova Belediyesi2.52 (+152)2.39 (+139)
spreadPinar Karsiyaka -4.5 · 1.83 (-120)Pinar Karsiyaka -4 · 1.82 (-122)
TotalO/U 164.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 168.5 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
31%44%56%69%Pinar Karsiyaka 62%Cayirova Belediyesi 38%
spread · Pinar Karsiyaka
-4.5-4-4.5 → -4
Total (over/under)
163.5164.5165168.5164.5 → 168.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).