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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Deportivo Toluca vs Club Tijuana — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 466 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 466 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Deportivo Toluca opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-244) and shortened to 1.29 (-348). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Deportivo Toluca 67% → 74%, draw 19% → 15%, Club Tijuana 14% → 10%. The Asian handicap moved from Deportivo Toluca -1.25 to Deportivo Toluca -1.75. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 25 min before kickoff: Deportivo Toluca went from 71% to 73% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Deportivo Toluca1.41 (-244)1.29 (-348)
Draw5.09 (+409)6.25 (+525)
Club Tijuana6.62 (+562)9.29 (+829)
Asian handicapDeportivo Toluca -1.25 · 1.89 (-112)Deportivo Toluca -1.75 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-1%28%57%86%Deportivo Toluca 74%Draw 15%Club Tijuana 10%
Asian handicap · Deportivo Toluca
-1.75-1.5-1.25-1.25 → -1.75
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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