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Getafe vs FC Lugano — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 452 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 452 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Getafe opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and drifted to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Getafe 53% → 49%, draw 27% → 29%, FC Lugano 20% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Getafe -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 22 h 30 min before kickoff: Getafe went from 53% to 51% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Getafe1.79 (-126)1.96 (-104)
Draw3.49 (+249)3.36 (+236)
FC Lugano4.64 (+364)4.27 (+327)
Asian handicapGetafe -0.5 · 1.80 (-125)Getafe -0.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 2.25 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%29%44%59%Getafe 49%Draw 29%FC Lugano 22%
Asian handicap · Getafe
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).