Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 596 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 596 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Dinamo Zagreb opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.48 (-209). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dinamo Zagreb 58% → 65%, draw 22% → 20%, NEC Nijmegen 20% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Dinamo Zagreb -0.75 to Dinamo Zagreb -1.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before kickoff: Dinamo Zagreb went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Dinamo Zagreb
1.64 (-156)
1.48 (-209)
Draw
4.29 (+329)
4.91 (+391)
NEC Nijmegen
4.72 (+372)
6.32 (+532)
Asian handicap
Dinamo Zagreb -0.75 · 1.81 (-123)
Dinamo Zagreb -1.25 · 2.03 (+103)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Dinamo Zagreb
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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