Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 569 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 569 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Sociedad opened as the favorite at 1.53 (-189) and shortened to 1.45 (-222). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lillestrom 18% → 15%, draw 20% → 19%, Real Sociedad 62% → 66%. The Asian handicap moved from Lillestrom +1 to Lillestrom +1.25. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 25 min before kickoff: Real Sociedad went from 67% to 65% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Latest
Lillestrom
5.36 (+436)
6.39 (+539)
Draw
4.64 (+364)
5.19 (+419)
Real Sociedad
1.53 (-189)
1.45 (-222)
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1 · 1.97 (-103)
Lillestrom +1.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Lillestrom
Total (over/under)
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