Elversberg vs Mainz 05 — odds movement
Oct 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Mainz 05 opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and shortened to 2.07 (+107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Elversberg 30% → 28%, draw 25% → 25%, Mainz 05 45% → 47%. The Asian handicap held at Elversberg +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Elversberg | 3.17 (+217) | 3.53 (+253) |
| Draw | 3.94 (+294) | 3.85 (+285) |
| Mainz 05 | 2.15 (+115) | 2.07 (+107) |
| Asian handicap | Elversberg +0.25 · 2.01 (+101) | Elversberg +0.25 · 2.13 (+113) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103) | O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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