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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 233 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 233 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 20 min before tip-off. Phoenix Suns opened as the favorite at 1.29 (-345) and shortened to 1.26 (-382). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Phoenix Suns 75% → 77%, Golden State Warriors 25% → 23%. The spread moved from Phoenix Suns -9 to Phoenix Suns -9.5. The total moved up from 220.5 to 222.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Phoenix Suns1.29 (-345)1.26 (-382)
Golden State Warriors3.83 (+283)4.32 (+332)
spreadPhoenix Suns -9 · 1.95 (-105)Phoenix Suns -9.5 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 220.5 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 222 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%38%62%87%Phoenix Suns 77%Golden State Warriors 23%
spread · Phoenix Suns
-10-9.5-9-9 → -9.5
Total (over/under)
218.5219219.5220220.5221.5220.5 → 222

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