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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Atlas vs Puebla — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Atlas opened as the favorite at 1.69 (-145) and shortened to 1.66 (-151). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlas 56% → 58%, draw 24% → 24%, Puebla 20% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at Atlas -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 14 h 5 min before kickoff: Atlas went from 56% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlas1.69 (-145)1.66 (-151)
Draw3.90 (+290)4.06 (+306)
Puebla4.85 (+385)5.26 (+426)
Asian handicapAtlas -0.75 · 1.91 (-110)Atlas -0.75 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%29%47%65%Atlas 58%Draw 24%Puebla 18%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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