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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 8:37 PM ET · 327 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 327 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 20 min before puck drop. Edmonton Oilers opened as the favorite at 1.49 (-206) and drifted to 1.55 (-181). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Edmonton Oilers 65% → 63%, Calgary Flames 35% → 37%. The puck line held at Edmonton Oilers -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 10 h 60 min before puck drop: Edmonton Oilers went from 66% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Edmonton Oilers1.49 (-206)1.55 (-181)
Calgary Flames2.79 (+179)2.62 (+162)
puck lineEdmonton Oilers -1.5 · 2.21 (+121)Edmonton Oilers -1.5 · 2.28 (+128)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 6.5 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%43%57%72%Edmonton Oilers 63%Calgary Flames 37%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).